基于灰色物元分析法的导弹装备采办风险评估  

Risk Assessment of Missile Equipment Acquisition Based on Grey Matter Element Analysis

作　　者：曹翊天 李彦彬[1] 吴振亚[1] 张斯嘉[2] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学防空反导学院,西安710051 [2]空军工程大学装备管理与安全工程学院,西安710051

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2015年第10期129-132,共4页Fire Control & Command Control

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(51075395)

摘　　要：对于导弹装备存在的采办风险问题,建立了导弹装备采办的评估指标体系。灰色理论与物元分析法相结合,构建了灰色物元模型,对某型导弹采办风险进行了评估,得出总的采办风险与各个评估灰类的关联系数,用最大隶属度原则得出评估结论。用实例验证了该模型的可行性,并对导弹装备的采办提出相应建议。This paper established the assessment index system of missile equipment acquisition risk problems. It used grey theory and matter element analysis to build up the grey matter element analysis model for evaluating the risk for certain missile equipment. Then it gives the correlation coefficients of total acquisition risk with each evaluating grey-group and concluded assessment conclusion according to principle of maximum degree of membership. Finally,it verifies the feasibility of model and put forward suggestions for missile equipment acquisition.

关 键 词：导弹装备采办 灰色理论 物元分析法 风险评估 

分 类 号：E233[军事—军事理论]