基于可拓理论的煤矿安全动态预警模型  

The Dynamic Early-warning Model for Coal Mine Safety Based on Extension Theory

作　　者：陈孝国[1,2] 高尔新[1] 王存权[1,3] 边晓菲 杨悦[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学(北京)力学与建筑工程学院,北京100083 [2]黑龙江科技大学理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150022 [3]大同煤矿集团有限责任公司,山西大同037003

出　　处：《佳木斯大学学报（自然科学版）》2015年第5期684-687,共4页Journal of Jiamusi University：Natural Science Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(51105135);黑龙江省自然基金项目(A201421);中国矿业大学(北京)博士拔尖创新基金项目(20150606);黑龙江科技大学青年才俊资助项目(20120501)

摘　　要：首先确定了影响煤矿安全的因素指标及评价安全等级集,并采用模糊层次分析法确定了指标因素权重,为提高预警可靠性,提出了动态可拓物元预警方法.其次,以同煤集团燕子山矿为例,综合考虑近三个月的全部指标因素的取值情况,利用模型方法对该矿安全性进行了预警分析,所得结果与实际情况相符.上述研究不仅丰富了煤矿安全预警方法,而且也为可拓理论在矿业工程中进一步应用提供了参考.In this paper, the factor indices which affect coal mine safety and the scale sets for evaluation safety were determined first, and the weights of index factors were confirm using fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. To improve the reliability of. the early - warning, a early - warning method was proposed for dynamic extension matter - element. Then, Yanzi Mountain coal mine, Datong Coal Mine Group, was taken as example to consider the value situation of all the index factors nearly three months comprehensively. The early - warning analysis on the security of this mine was made using model method. The result is consistent with the actual situation. The a- bove research can not only enrich the early -warning method for coal mine safety, but also provide a reference for the further application of the extension theory in the mining engineering.

关 键 词：可拓学 模糊层次分析法 煤矿安全 动态预警 

分 类 号：X936[环境科学与工程—安全科学]