农村土地资产评估风险分析  

Research on Risk Analysis of Rural Land Assets Assessment

作　　者：杨夕[1] 邱道持[1] 蒋敏[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南大学地理科学学院,重庆400715

出　　处：《西南大学学报（自然科学版）》2015年第10期113-118,共6页Journal of Southwest University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划项目(2012BAJ22B00);重庆市社会科学规划重点项目(2011ZDGL12)

摘　　要：在文献梳理、实地调研的基础上,采用参与式农村评估法、头脑风暴法、德尔菲法进行风险诊断与识别,构建农村土地资产评估风险指标体系,通过模糊层次分析法评估风险因素对农村土地资产评估风险的贡献值,研究表明:1我国农村土地资产评估风险主要包括市场风险、政策风险、监管风险及技术风险;2市场风险(B1)对农村土地资产评估风险系统的贡献值最大,占整个风险体系的35.27%,其次为政策风险(28.54%)、监管风险(21.69%)、技术风险(14.50%).构建农村土地资产评估风险防范体系应当着力解决3个关键问题:统筹城乡发展,建立健全农村土地资产市场;完善政府职能,加强农村土地资产评估宏观调控;开展行业自律,提高农村土地资产评估服务水平.Establishing an effective risk prevention and treatment mechanism by investigating the risk assessment of rural land assets is an important measure to the improvement of the modern land market system,to the protection of the legitimate rights and interests of farmers,and to the planning of urban and rural development as a whole.Based on the research methods of literature review and social survey,the authors of this paper employ PRA,brainstorming and Delphi methods to diagnose and identify the risks,and an evaluation index system is constructed.Then FAHP（fuzzy analytical hierarchy process）is used to measure up the importance of risk factors for rural land assets assessment of China.The results indicate that the risk of rural land assets assessment in China involves market risk,policy risk,supervision risk and technical risk;that market risk is the maximum contributing factor to the system of rural land assets assessment,accounting for 35.27% of the total,while the contribution of policy risk,supervision risk and technical risk is 28.54%,21.69%and 14.50%,respectively;and that in the efforts to construct the rural land assets assessment system,we should establish the rural land assets market,enhance government＇s macro-control of rural land assets evaluation and improve rural land asset valuation services.

关 键 词：资产评估 农村土地 风险分析 模糊层次分析法 

分 类 号：F301[经济管理—产业经济]