促进就业政策的评价体系重构与实证分析  

The Reconstruction and Empirical Analysis on Evaluation System of Employment Policies

作　　者：殷俊[1] 李晓鹤[2] 

机构地区：[1]武汉大学社会保障研究中心 [2]武汉大学政治与公共管理学院

出　　处：《吉林大学社会科学学报》2015年第6期25-33,171,共9页Jilin University Journal Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(11JJD840017)

摘　　要：目前,就业政策评价以就业支出评价为主,缺乏统一、全面的政策评价体系。在调查数据和访谈的基础上,建立新的就业政策评价指标体系,探索将可拓分析用于确定指标权重,利用模糊综合评价模型简化评价方法,降低评价过程的主观性。实证分析首次阐述了信息不对称问题对就业政策的负面影响:社保经办机构和失业者之间存在双向信息不对称,两者追求短期利益最大化,造成就业政策提供和需求的差异,政策提供者偏好职业介绍和培训、税费减免和补贴政策,而失业者希望得到小额贷款、公益性岗位安置政策的大力支持。因此,未来就业政策的完善应该以消减信息不对称问题和政策冲突为主,提高就业政策的宣传力度和透明度,调整就业支出结构。At present,the evaluation of employment policies focuses on expenditure performance,lacking unified and comprehensive system. Thus,based on survey data,the paper proposes the new evaluation index system and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method by integrating extension method to fix the w eight of indexes to simplify current method and reduce subjectivity in evaluation. Finally,the empirical explains the negative effect of information asymmetry in policies,w hich differentiates policy supply and need,for the reason that both providers and consumers pursuit ow n maximum interests. Therefore the providers prefer policies of professional introduction,training,tax reduction and subsidies compared w ith consumers' preference of microfinance and public jobs. The future policies should pay attention to information asymmetry and conflicts among policies,adjust the expenditure structure and propaganda and transparency of system.

关 键 词：就业政策 模糊综合评价法 可拓分析 

分 类 号：F249.2[经济管理—劳动经济]