基于相应分析法对我国主要江河流域水涝灾害的研究  

Study on the Main River Basin Flood Disaster in China Based on Corresponding Analysis Method

作　　者：张朝元 王顺成 

机构地区：[1]大理大学数学与计算机学院,云南大理671003

出　　处：《昆明冶金高等专科学校学报》2015年第5期47-52,59,共7页Journal of Kunming Metallurgy College

基　　金：国家自然科学基金:地震波传播的高阶NAD算法及波场模拟研究(41464004);云南省教育厅科学研究基金重点项目:高精度底数值频散的保辛离散方法及地震波场模拟研究(2013Z152)

摘　　要：采用相应分析方法对我国主要江河流域珠江、长江、淮河、黄河、海滦河、辽河、松花江流域的水涝灾害数据进行分析研究,探讨太阳黑子活动、日食、厄尔尼诺事件与水涝灾害的关系。分析结果表明:当太阳黑子数小于27和大于105时,当年极易发生水灾,特别是发生大水灾和特级水灾;当三年中出现一次厄尔尼诺事件时,发生水涝灾害的频率非常高;水灾发生的年份是没有出现日食和出现多次日食的年代。In this paper,the flood disaster data of China's major river basins,which include the Zhujiang River,the Changjiang River,the Huanghe River,the Huaihe River,the Hailuanhe River,the Liaohe River and the Songhua River,were analyzed.The relationship between sunspot activity,solar eclipse,El Nino events and flood was explored.The results shows that:when the sunspot number is less than 27 and more than 105,then prone to floods,especially the occurrence of big floods and super flood;when an El Nino event occurs in three years,the frequency of occurrence of flooding disasters is very high;floods year is no eclipse occurs and the emergence of multiple solar eclipse.

关 键 词：水涝灾害 太阳黑子 日食 厄尔尼诺 相应分析法 

分 类 号：P338.6[天文地球—水文科学] TV122[水利工程—水文学及水资源]