Effects of Trade Liberalization and Outsourcing on Employment in China during 1995-2009  

作　　者：卫瑞 庄宗明 

机构地区：[1]Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China [2]Department of International Economics and Trade of the School of Economics, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China

出　　处：《China Economist》2015年第6期93-109,共17页中国经济学人（英文版）

基　　金：sponsored by the Social Sciences Planning Program(Young PhD Dissertation Program)of Fujian province(2014C044)

摘　　要：With the deepening of economic globalization, trade liberalization and outsourcing exert increasingly important effects on China＇s employment. Based on China＇s （imporO non-competitive input-output table and employment data provided by the World Input-Output Database （WIOD）, this paper has estimated China ＂s total employment and skill-specific employment between 1995 and 2009 and utilized structural decomposition method to investigate the effects of trade liberalization and outsourcing as two internationalization factors on China＇s job growth. Results indicate that between 1995 and 2009, China＇s total employment and skill-specific employment increased significantly, and the expansion of final output and particularly export expansion is a major driver of job growth, that the reduction in labor input coefficient is a major restraint of job growth, and that outsourcing is generally unfavorable to China＇s job growth. By specific product categories, their production internationalization effect of the production sectors of different types of products （aggregate effect of trade liberalization and variation in the level of outsourcing on employment variation） derives from different sources. For sectors of low technology products, their production internationalization effect mainly derives from the expansion of the share of export. For the production sectors of medium technology products, their production internationalization effect mainly derives from outsourcing expansion. By specific groups of workforce, low-skilled workforce is the most vulnerable to the impact of production internationalization, medium-skilled workforce is subject to relatively small effect, while the effect on highly-skilled workforce is negligible.

关 键 词：trade liberalization OUTSOURCING employment fluctuation non-competitiveinput-output table structural decomposition analysis 

分 类 号：F752.68[经济管理—国际贸易] F249.2[经济管理—产业经济]