台湾研发服务业与制造业联动发展及其对广东的启示  

The Interactive Development between Research and Development Services and the Manufacturing in Taiwan and Its Enlightenment to Guangdong

作　　者：梁永福[1,2] 张展生[2] 林雄[2] 

机构地区：[1]暨南大学,广东广州510632 [2]广东省生产力促进中心,广东广州510070

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2015年第22期70-75,84,共7页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：广东省对外科技合作项目"粤台科技服务业发展现状与合作前景研究"(2012B050300031)

摘　　要：以台湾时间序列数据为样本,建立向量自回归模型进行单位根检验和协整分析,并与广东进行比较,结果表明台湾制造业是研发服务业的格兰杰因,反之不成立,且长期里两者存在均衡关系。广东研发服务业与制造业互为格兰杰因,但从长期来看两者未能形成一种稳定的联动关系。Taking time series data of Taiwan research and development services and manufacturing＇ s real GDP, this paper applies vector auto - regression model to give co - integration analysis and Granger test, and compares the data with the Guangdong. Results show that there is long - run co - integration and unidirectional causality between Taiwan research and development services and manufacturing; there is causality but without long - run co - integration between Guangdong research and development services and manufacturing. The research provides a useful reference for industrial upgrading in Guangdong.

关 键 词：研发服务业 制造业 联动发展 台湾地区 

分 类 号：F427[经济管理—产业经济] F719