中国对丝绸之路经济带沿线国家农产品出口贸易决定因素分析  

Analysis of Determinants of Chinese Agricultural Products Export along the Silk Road Economic Zone

作　　者：谭晶荣[1] 蔡燕林 高颖[2] 王瑞 李书彦 

机构地区：[1]浙江工业大学经贸管理学院,杭州310014 [2]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083 [3]宇波大红鹰学院,宁波315175

出　　处：《农业经济问题》2015年第11期9-15,110,共7页Issues in Agricultural Economy

基　　金：国家社科基金重大招标项目(编号:13&ZD046);国家自然科学基金项目(编号:71173193);浙江省重点软科学项目(编号:2014C25029)

摘　　要：本文采用2000—2013年的农产品贸易数据,分析了中国对丝绸之路经济带沿线国家的农产品出口贸易状况及其决定因素。研究表明,中国对丝绸之路经济带沿线国家农产品出口额相对较低、规模偏小,主要产品和市场集中在欧洲国家。基于引力模型的实证研究表明,空间距离、收入差距、人口、开放水平、政策等是影响中国对丝绸之路经济带沿线国家农产品出口贸易的重要因素。建议今后广泛开展中国与丝绸之路经济带沿线国家贸易合作,做好相互间贸易标准等方面的协调,在继续稳定重点市场的同时,加强对中亚经济带和环中亚经济带沿线国家的农产品贸易市场的开拓。With the use of 2000—2013 agricultural products trade data,analysis of China's agricultural products export to the Silk Road Economic Zone's situation and its determinants. Research shows that China's agricultural products export to the Silk Road Economy Zone with amount of export is relatively low,small-scale,market and products are mainly concentrated in European countries. Based on the gravity model of empirical research shows that,the geographical distance,the level of economic development,population size,degree of openness,policy and system is an important factor of the influence of China's agricultural products exports to the Silk Road Economy Zone of the country. Based on practical considerations,the future should be to carry out trade cooperation in a wide range of countries China and Silk Road Economic Belt,do mutual trade standards coordination,in the continued stability in key markets at the same time; strengthen to Central Asia economic zone and Central Asian economy with developing countries in the trade market of agricultural products.

关 键 词：丝绸之路经济带 农产品 出口贸易 引力模型 决定因素 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济] F752.62