重庆市经济与环境协调发展策略研究  

Strategy Research on Coordinated Development of Economy and Environment in Chongqing

作　　者：胡江霞[1] 文传浩[1,2] 兰秀娟[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆工商大学长江上游经济研究中心,重庆400067 [2]重庆三峡职业学院经济贸易系,重庆404155

出　　处：《生态经济》2015年第12期44-48,共5页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大招标项目"三峡库区‘环境-经济-社会’发展变化研究"(11&ZD161);国家社会科学基金项目"长江上游流域典型水利水电库区移民后续生计调查与比较研究"(14CJL031);重庆市教委人文社会科学研究项目"三峡库区产业发展的集群化和生态化互动研究"(14SKS50);教育部人文社会科学基地重大项目"长江上游典型库区旅游经济发展现状调查与对策"(11JJD790026);部省共建人文社会科学重点研究基地项目"长江上游地区产业空间优化与经济增长研究"(14JJD790005);重庆市社科联项目"三峡库区城镇化质量影响因素与提升路径研究"(2014BS030)

摘　　要：经济系统是一个动态复杂性系统,不同区域的经济发展水平、环境承载力等因素都会影响区域经济的发展轨迹。文章阐述了重庆市经济子系统、环境子系统的特征,采用系统动力学、协调度分析两种方法相结合,提出了适用于重庆市经济环境协调发展策略分析的新思路。文章首先构建了重庆市经济环境系统协调度的动力学模型,并且设计了重庆市未来发展的四种方案,通过研究表明策略4是最好的经济环境协调方式;其次,利用经济环境协调度计算公式,计算出不同策略下的协调度指数,通过研究再次印证策略4是重庆市未来经济环境协调发展的最佳模式;最后提出了相应的建议。Economic system is a dynamic complex system. Different regional economic development level, Environmental carrying capacity and other factors will affect the development of regional economy.This article elaborated the features of the environment subsystem and economic subsystem, also, this article put forward new thinking which is helpful for the coordinated development of economy and environment in Chongqing, by using the strategy of the system dynamics and the analysis of coordination degree.Firstly, this paper constructed a dynamic model of coordinated degree of economy environment system in Chongqing City, and designed four kinds of solutions for future development in Chongqing city. The research showed that the strategy 4 is the best way to coordinate the development of economy and environment; Secondly, The article calculated the coordination index of different strategies, by using the formula of coordination degree of economy and environment.Through the research, the article confirmed strategy 4 is the best mode of future economic environment coordinated development. Finally, corresponding suggestions are put forward.

关 键 词：系统动力学 经济 环境 协调 策略 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]