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作 者:韩淑娟[1]
机构地区:[1]山西省社会科学院社会学研究所,太原030006
出 处:《西北人口》2015年第6期34-38,共5页Northwest Population Journal
基 金:山西省软科学项目:基于"六普"的山西人口发展趋势研究(2014041050-03)
摘 要:通过构建基于城市面板数据的计量模型,得出在我国资源型地区资源产业繁荣对劳动力在不同生产部门间分配的作用机制:资源产业的过度繁荣不仅减少了农业部门和制造业部门的劳动力,同时对服务业部门劳动力份额也具有挤出效应。其根本原因在于:资源型地区的经济增长源于资源产业的突发性繁荣,工业化表现出资源产业"一头独大"、制造业相对萎缩的突出特点,人口城市化的发展基础具有脆弱性,存在着一定的风险。一旦资源枯竭或产业发展受阻,这些地区的经济增长将无以为继,城市化发展面临困境,因此必须寻求经济转型道路以破解发展难题。By Constructing a econometric model based on panel data of cities,the internal mechanism of how the resources industry prosperity influences the labor distribution between departments in resources-based areas is:the excessive prosperity of resources industries not only reduces the labor force share in agricultural and manufacturing sector,but also the labor force share in service sector. The fundamental reason is that the economic growth of resource-based regional in China comes from the sudden prosperity of resources industry,and its industrialization show that the resources industry is prominent and the manufacturing industry is relative in atrophy,and the urbanization is fragile and at a certain risk. Once resource becomes exhaustion or the resource industry development is in the face of difficulties, the economic growth of these areas would not continue and the urbanization would be in plight,so that the resource-based areas in China must seek economic transition road to crack development problems.
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