新型城镇化视角下中国交通运输碳排放测度及其空间格局分析  

Measurement and Spatial Pattern of Transportation Carbon Emission in China under the Perspective of New Urbanization

作　　者：杨彬[1] 宁小莉[1] 

机构地区：[1]包头师范学院资源与环境学院,内蒙古包头014030

出　　处：《内蒙古师范大学学报（自然科学汉文版）》2015年第5期667-673,679,共8页Journal of Inner Mongolia Normal University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(41061018);教育部人文社会科学资助项目(10XJAZH004)

摘　　要：以中国30个省、自治区和直辖市为研究对象,以2000年和2012年为时间节点,运用自上而下法计算交通运输碳排放量,运用ESDA(探索性空间数据分析)和GIS(地理信息系统)相结合的空间分析框架探讨交通运输碳排放的时空格局特征.研究结果表明:1省域交通运输碳排放的增长速度和空间分异十分明显,东部经济地带>中部经济地带>西部经济地带,这与区域经济发展水平相一致;2交通运输碳排放呈现离散分布,负相关性不断减弱,热点区和冷点区比重均呈下降趋势,东部沿海尤其是长三角和环渤海出现热点结构特征,西部内陆始终为低值簇;3在不断扩大的交通运输碳排放空间差异中,随机性增强,空间自组织性减弱,格局演化存在一定的规律性和延续性,由东部沿海向西部内陆渐次倾斜.Taking the 30 provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government as the research object,taking 2000 and 2000 as the time node,the transport carbon emission was calculated by using top-down method,explored spatial-temporal pattern of transport carbon emission by using the exploratory spatial data analysis（ESDA）and GIS（geographic information system）with the combination of spatial analysis framework.The result indicates that：（1 ）The growth rate and spatial differentiation of the provincial transportation carbon emissions were obvious.The eastern economic zone〉central economic zone〉the western economic zone,which was consistent with the level of regional economic development.（2 ）The transportation carbon emission presented discrete distribution,and the negative correlation was gradually weakening.The proportion of hotspots and cold spots were gradually reduced.The hotspot structure characteristics of transportation carbon emission were centralized in the eastern coastal areas especially in the Yangtze River Delta and the Bohai Rim,and the cold spots clustered in the western inland.（3 ）The spatial difference and random pattern of transportation carbon emission kept increasing,and the self-organized kept reducing.The pattern evolvement of transportation carbon emission tended to be continuous and gradually sloped from the eastern coastal areas to the western inland.

关 键 词：交通运输碳排放 空间格局 ESDA-GIS 新型城镇化 

分 类 号：U12[交通运输工程]