“一带一路”与印尼“全球海上支点”的战略对接研究  被引量:19

On Strategic Connectivity between the OBOR Initiative and Indonesia's Global Maritime Fulcrum Strategy

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作  者:马博[1] 

机构地区:[1]南京大学中国南海研究协同创新中心

出  处:《国际展望》2015年第6期33-50,共18页Global Review

摘  要:印度尼西亚新任总统佐科将打造"全球海上支点"战略作为政府今后施政的重点,中国政府也正在推行"21世纪海上丝绸之路"战略倡议。这两项战略规划将深刻地影响未来中国和印尼的双边关系。本文在对印尼"全球海上支点"战略进行评析的基础上,讨论中国"21世纪海上丝绸之路"战略和印尼"全球海上支点"战略对接的必要性、条件和具体路径,以及战略对接面临的机遇和挑战。一方面,中国与印尼良好的双边关系与维护地区安全稳定的共同利益是保障两大发展战略成功对接的现实条件,中国与印尼双方可将贸易均衡化、增加投资、能源资源合作等领域作为突破口,逐步推进战略对接。另一方面,中国与印尼双方的战略对接也面临一系列潜在挑战,如印尼海上强势执法、其国内对华人的态度以及一些大国如美国、日本的干涉等。探讨中国与印尼双方发展战略的有效对接,可为中国与沿线国家的合作确立新的典范。Indonesia's new president Joko Widodo has made the Global Maritime Fulcrum(GMF) strategy a centerpiece of his administration; meanwhile, the Chinese government proposes the 'One Belt, One Road'(OBOR) initiatives. Once implemented, these two strategies will profoundly affect the future of the China-Indonesia bilateral relationship. This article intends to understand the GMF strategy first, and then, discusses the necessities, conditions, and paths for the connectivity of these two strategies, as well as the opportunities and challenges both countries face. On the one hand, China and Indonesia's good bilateral relations, along with common interests in safeguarding regional security and stability guarantee the successful connectivity of the two strategies. China and Indonesia, through promoting bilateral trade, increasing investment, developing energy resources, can make a breakthrough to promote strategic connectivity. On the other hand, bilateral relations between China and Indonesia face a number of potential challenges, such as Indonesia' hardened maritime law enforcement, its attitude toward ethnic Chinese, as well as external factors such as the United States and Japan's potential interference. In the end, an analysis of the strategic connectivity between the two countries may establish a new model for cooperation between China and other nations along the OBOR initiative regions in the future.

关 键 词:一带一路 全球海上支点 战略对接 中印尼关系 

分 类 号:F752.734.2[经济管理—国际贸易]

 

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