上游水电工程对毛尔盖水电站洪水预报影响研究  

Influences of Upstream Hydropower Projects on Flood Forecasting in Maoergai Hydropower Station

作　　者：王涛[1] 徐海丽[1] 李铭[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国电建集团成都勘测设计研究院有限公司,四川成都610072

出　　处：《水力发电》2015年第12期21-24,共4页Water Power

基　　金：成都院青年创新基金项目(P195-2013)

摘　　要：以四川黑水河流域毛尔盖水电站为例,研究上游已建中小型水电站对毛尔盖水电站洪水预报影响。研究结果表明,上游已建中小型水电站对毛尔盖水电站洪水预报精度影响较大,需根据影响程度及时修正预报方案,并在预报方案编制过程中加强人工干预功能,采用实时校正和多种水文模型预报方法,提高洪水预报精度。The influences of upstream hydropower projects on flood forecasting in Maoergai Hydropower Station are studied, lhe results show that the built medium and small sized hydropower stations in upstream reach have greater effects on the accuracy of flood forecasting. The accuracy of flood forecasting could be effectively improved by using the methods of manual intervention function, real-time correction and multiple hydrologic models in forecasting process.

关 键 词：洪水预报 人工干预 实时校正 毛尔盖水电站 

分 类 号：TV124[水利工程—水文学及水资源]