能源因素分解模型的比较、改进与应用  

Research on the Energy Factor Decompositions:Comparison,Improvement and Application

作　　者：杨正东[1,2] 李京文[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京工业大学经济与管理学院 [2]北京工业大学环境与能源工程学院

出　　处：《管理学报》2015年第12期1860-1864,共5页Chinese Journal of Management

基　　金：北京市自然科学基金资助项目(9132001);北京工业大学经济管理学院中青年拨尖人才基金资助项目(BJVTJG-KY-17)

摘　　要：因素分解模型在能源经济与管理中有着极其重要和广泛的应用。分析并区别了9种能源因素分解模型,对这些因素分解模型进行了集中的梳理和比较,找出了这些模型之间的联系和本质区别,改进了以往的模型并提出了一种新的计算方法。运用改进的方法,选取2005~2011年的北京市经济发展和能源消耗数据进行实证分析,研究表明,产业结构的升级对终端能源消耗的作用表现出波动和不确定性。Factor decomposition method in energy economics and management has an extremely important role and been widely used. This study uses an improved method with data from 2005 to 2011, and shows that the relationship of upgrading of industrial structure and energy consumption is not clear. Arguments are as follows： Firstly, based on previous studies, this study introduces nine kinds of factorization models; then sorts and compares these models to identify links and differences; further, by improving the model we propose a new method of calculation, and carry out empirical research to bring new conclusions. Finally, the nature of the model is summarized and explained. We hope that these studies have a new inspiration on domestic energy economy researchers.

关 键 词：能源管理 产业结构 因素分解法 终端能源消耗 

分 类 号：C93[经济管理—管理学]