中国水稻生产环节外包价格的决定机制——基于全国6省20县的空间计量分析  

Spatial Econometric Analysis of Rice Production Links Outsourcing Pricing Mechanism:Empirical Study of 14 Province 42 counties in China

作　　者：申红芳[1,2] 陈超[2] 廖西元 王磊[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国水稻研究所 [2]南京农业大学经济管理学院 [3]农业部种子管理局

出　　处：《中国农村观察》2015年第6期34-46,95,共13页China Rural Survey

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"中国农业生产环节外包供求平衡机制研究:以水稻为例"(项目编号:71203236);中央级公益性科研院所(中国水稻研究所)基本科研业务费专项资金(编号:2014RG006-4)的资助

摘　　要：本文以全国6个水稻主产省份20县的154个村庄为研究对象,采用空间计量模型分析了水稻主要生产环节外包价格的决定机制,发现生产环节外包价格在空间上呈现明显的自相关性和异质性,且空间自相关随着距离的增加逐渐减弱。本文进一步采用空间滞后模型(SLM)和空间误差模型(SEM)对生产环节外包价格的决定机制进行了分析。结果显示:村庄绝对规模对生产环节外包价格的决定作用较小,说明目前生产环节外包市场是一个"卖方定价"市场。村庄人均耕地面积对生产环节外包价格有显著的负向影响。生产要素价格对生产环节外包价格有显著影响,尤其是劳动力价格上涨对生产环节外包价格匕涨有较强的推动作用。Because the labor and outsourcing service providers are flowing in region,the outsourcing price has auto correlation and dependence in space.The factors analysis of outsourcing price show that:the scale of village has small effect on outsourcing price,and the per capita arable land has negatively affected on outsourcing price,which means that the less is per capita land,the higher is outsourcing price.The labor price and scarcity have essential impact on rice production links outsourcing price;and the increasing of labor price promotes the increasing of outsourcing price.The development of specialized service organization has significant influence on outsourcing price.

关 键 词：水稻 生产环节外包 价格 市场结构 空间计量模型 

分 类 号：F726.1[经济管理—产业经济]