基于SD的地空导弹混编群部署决策模型  

A Study of Deployment Decision Model of Surface-to-Air Missile Hybrid Force Based on System Dynamics

作　　者：陈卓[1] 商长安[1] 郭蓬松[1] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学防空反导学院,西安710051

出　　处：《空军工程大学学报（自然科学版）》2015年第6期84-88,共5页Journal of Air Force Engineering University(Natural Science Edition)

摘　　要：地空导弹混编作战是应对信息化空袭、提高地面防空整体作战效能的必然选择。阐述了地空导弹混编部署的基本模式和准则,基于系统动力学(SD)理论方法,分析了构建地空导弹混编群部署决策模型的要素,主要包括:空袭目标参数、火力单元部署要素和武器性能参数,给出了SD仿真模型中射击条件判断的主要依据、变量设置和影响关系,以"中-近程"混编模式为范例,建立了地空导弹混编群部署决策SD模型,包括模型的结构流图和重要变量的运算关系,通过设置典型参数和对策序列,对SD模型进行了仿真实验,获得了重要变量的仿真结果,并对仿真结果的含义和应用进行了分析讨论。案例运行表明了SD模型的可行性和有效性。The hybrid operations of surface-to-air missile is an necessary choice of dealing with information air attack and improving ground-air-defense integrated operations effectiveness. The basic mode and criteri- on of surface-to-air missile hybrid deployment are explained. The main factors of deployment decision model are analyzed based on System Dynamics （SD） theory, including the air-attack parameters, firepower unit deployment and equipment capabilities. The judgment regulation of fire condition, variable setting and inflection relation in SD simulation model are proposed. Taking ＂one intermediate and two short range＂ hy- brid deployment mode as an example, the SD model of surface-to-air missile hybrid deployment decision is built, including the model structure diagram and important variables operation relation. By setting the typical parameters and countermeasure sequence, the SD model simulation experiment is executed and the important variables simulation results are acquired. And the meaning and application of simulation results are discussed. The case application shows that the decision SD model is feasible and effective.

关 键 词：地空导弹 混编群 部署决策模型 系统动力学 

分 类 号：O22[理学—运筹学与控制论]