中国—智利自贸区的农产品贸易效应——基于巴拉萨模型的实证分析  

An Analysis on Agricultural Trade Effects of China-Chile Free Trade Agreement Based on Balassa Model

作　　者：宋海英[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江外国语学院国际商学院,浙江杭州310012

出　　处：《浙江外国语学院学报》2015年第4期72-79,共8页Journal of Zhejiang International Studies University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(71303222)

摘　　要：从2006年中国—智利自由贸易协议正式实施以来,中国与智利的农产品贸易规模不断扩大,相互之间的贸易地位日益提升,农产品贸易的互补性强。文章通过最新统计数据,运用扩展的巴拉萨模型模拟了中国—智利自贸区的农产品贸易效应,结果表明,中国—智利自贸区对中国农产品进口总体上并未出现贸易创造效应,但对食用水果及坚果的进口产生了显著的贸易转移效应;中国—智利自贸区对智利农产品进口总体上并未出现贸易转移效应,而产生了显著的贸易创造效应。Agricultural trade has increased between China and Chile since China-Chile Free Trade Agreement was formally entered into force in 2006.Trade positions between each other havebeen improved and their agricultural trade is fully complementary.Balassa model is extended to simulate the agricultural trade effects of China-Chile Free Trade Agreement using latest data.The results show that there is no trade creation effect on China＇s total agricultural import,but there is significant trade diversion effect on China＇s import of edible fruit and nuts.The China-Chile Free Trade Agreement does not bring agricultural trade diversion effect,but significant trade creation effect,on Chile＇s agricultural import.

关 键 词：中国—智利自由贸易协议 农产品贸易 贸易创造 贸易转移 巴拉萨模型 

分 类 号：F114.46[经济管理—国际贸易]