资源密集型区域“科技-环境-经济”优化方案研究——以黑龙江省为例  

Research on Optimization of “Technology-Environmental-Economic” for Development Strategies in Resource-intensive Area——Based on the SD-MOP Integrated Model

作　　者：李素峰[1,2] 严良[1] 庞林[2] 张明辉[3] 严筱[1] 何建华[1] 唐莹[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院,湖北武汉430074 [2]石家庄经济学院,河北石家庄050031 [3]华中农业大学公共管理学院,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2015年第23期74-77,共4页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：国家社科基金项目"基于生态创新系统视角的矿产资源密集型区域的可持续发展研究"(12BJL074);教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目"经济全球化背景下我国矿产资源战略研究(12JZD034)

摘　　要：利用系统动力学模型对科技研发课题数量、污染物排放总量和GDP增长率变化趋势进行预测,以科技创新产出、生态环境效益和生态经济效益最优化为目标,构建"科技-环境-经济"三重目标的SD-MOP整合模型,并对2025年黑龙江省"科技-环境-经济"系统进行仿真和优化。结果显示:到2025年,SD-MOP优化方案下黑龙江省生态经济效益和科技创新产出成果分别增加了22.27%和21.15%,而环境污染水平却降低了9.16%,明显优于以经济发展为主的SD优化方案。In this paper, the trends of R ＆ D topics quantity, pollutant emissions and growth rate of GDP is forecasted u- sing system dynamics model. The SD -MOP integrated model of ＂Technology -Environment -Economy＂ triple objective is buih to optimize the scientific output, eco- environmental and economic benefits. Then the ＂Technology- Environment - Economy＂ system of Heilongjiang Province in 2025 is simulated and optimized. The results show that the economic and technological achievements outputs are respectively increased by 22. 27% and 21.15%, while the level of environmental pollution would be decreased by 9. 16% until 2025. Compared with the SD optimization program using economic develop- ment as the goal, economic and scientific output are respectively increased by 2. 98% and 5.79% , while the pollution level is decreased by 6. 41%. Study shows that the ＂Technology - Environment - Economy＂ program based on SD - MOP opti- mization model is obviously superior to the economic development program of SD - based optimization scheme.

关 键 词：SD—MOP 生态经济效益 R&D投资 科技创新产出 生态环境效益 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]