基于正交设计与统计分析的注水井储层伤害预测  

Prediction of Formation Damage of Water Injection Well Based on Orthogonal Design and Statistical Analysis

作　　者：乔文波[1,2] 李海涛[2] 张富畋 张岭 张美[2] 李龙飞[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国石油长庆油田第七采油厂,甘肃庆阳745000 [2]西南石油大学油气藏地质及开发工程国家重点实验室,四川成都610500 [3]中海石油(中国)有限公司天津分公司,天津300452

出　　处：《石油化工高等学校学报》2015年第6期44-48,共5页Journal of Petrochemical Universities

基　　金：中国海洋石油(中国)有限公司项目"中国近海低孔低渗油气藏勘探开发关键技术与实践"(CNOOC-SY-001)和"低渗油田注水水质综合评价与注水剖面均衡控制研究"(CCL2012TJPZTS0380)

摘　　要：通过对地层系数的计算统计明确了QK油田主力注水层位分布。综合考虑,取渗透率约为2 000mD的15块岩心进行了模拟注水实验,以岩心渗透率伤害率为指标,采用正交试验法,考察了颗粒粒径、颗粒质量浓度以及含油质量浓度等因素对伤害率的影响。各因素效应计算表明,对伤害率影响从大到小依次为含油质量浓度、颗粒质量浓度、颗粒粒径。同时应用统计分析方法对其余条件下的伤害率做了预测,得到了真实值与预测值之间的误差范围,并得以验证。结果显示注水最优条件:颗粒粒径、颗粒质量浓度与含油质量浓度分别为4μm、3 mg/L和18mg/L或4μm、7mg/L与15mg/L,伤害率分别为22.5%及25.0%。A calculation of formation capacity in QK oilfield was carried out to identify the distribution of main water injection layers.A comprehensive core flowing test based on orthogonal design with 15 core samples（2 000 mD approximately）was carried out and the core permeability damage rate indicated that the damage degree was caused by particle size distribution,concentration and oil concentration.Take all these factors into consideration,the impact on the damage degree in decreasing order was oil concentration,particle concentration and particle size.Meanwhile damage rate was predict applying statistical analysis under other conditions then the error range between the predictive value and the true value,was obtained and verified.The results can be concluded that when particle size,concentration and oil concentrations were of 4μm,3mg/L and 18mg/L or 4μm,7mg/L and 15mg/L,damage rate were 22.5% and 25%.

关 键 词：储层伤害 注水 正交设计 统计分析 预测 

分 类 号：TE345[石油与天然气工程—油气田开发工程]