中国通货膨胀的影响因素及其作用效应分析  

The Influence Factors of China's Inflation and Its Effect Analysis

作　　者：于扬[1] 

机构地区：[1]内蒙古财经大学统计与数学学院,内蒙古010070

出　　处：《现代计算机（中旬刊）》2015年第11期20-23,共4页Modern Computer

摘　　要：梳理我国通货膨胀的影响因素,并采用经典时间序列模型对通货膨胀影响因素及其作用效应进行实证分析,结果表明:选择的七个影响因素与通货膨胀之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,影响因素中资产价格是导致通货膨胀的原因,其中股票价格对通货膨胀的贡献率为17.5829,在所选影响因素中最高,说明股票价格对通货膨胀的影响效应最大。Teases out the influence factors of inflation in China, and carries on the empirical analysis about t influence factors and its effect on infla-tion, according to the classical time series model, the results show that there is the long-term stable equilibrium relationship between inflation and seven influencing factors, asset prices is the cause of inflation, the contribution rate the of the stock price is 17.5829, which is the highest, in the selected factors, that means the stock price on inflation effect is the largest.

关 键 词：通货膨胀 脉冲响应函数 方差分解 

分 类 号：O211.61[理学—概率论与数理统计]