PHM中预测性能评价方法的发展与展望  

Development and Perspectives of Prognostics Performance Evaluation in PHM

作　　者：单珊[1] 冯玉光[1] 奚文骏[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军航空工程学院,山东烟台264001

出　　处：《计算机测量与控制》2015年第12期3909-3912,3924,共5页Computer Measurement &Control

摘　　要：预测与健康管理技术越来越受到武器装备维修保障领域的关注,预测作为其中的关键技术,其性能的优劣对健康管理工作有着至关重要的作用;对国内外PHM研究领域中预测性能评价方法的发展和现状进行了简要概括,并对预测性能评价方法的发展脉络进行了阶段划分与梳理,阐述了各阶段预测性能评价方法的基本原理与主要特点;在此基础上,总结了当前PHM研究中预测性能评价领域存在的发展空间和技术挑战,以及国内预测性能评价研究的特点,并由此提出对未来研究趋势的展望。Prognostics and Health Management （PHM） has drawn increasingly attention in area of weapon maintenance and support. As a critical technique, prognostics has significant influence on Health Management by its performance. A brief generalization for prognostics performance evaluation in PHM domestically and overseas was made. Development venation of prognostics performance evaluation was divid- ed into phases, and fundamental principles and major features of these evaluation methods in each phase were expounded respectively. On this basis, a summary of characteristics of domestic researches on prognostics performance evaluation in current researches on PHM was made, and proposed a perspective of future development tendency.

关 键 词：预测与健康管理 预测性能 指标 评价方法 

分 类 号：TP277[自动化与计算机技术—检测技术与自动化装置]