基于离散选择的动态堵塞模型研究  

Dynamic Congestion Model Based on Discrete Choice Theory

作　　者：王杨松[1] 孙洁[1] 

机构地区：[1]宁波工程学院,浙江宁波315016

出　　处：《宁波工程学院学报》2015年第4期30-34,共5页Journal of Ningbo University of Technology

基　　金：浙江省大学生科创项目(2013R422022)"面向智慧城市的复杂交通网络问题研究"资助

摘　　要：行车路径和出行时间是引起交通流变化的重要因素,笔者基于离散选择理论建立了动态阻塞模型,描述交通网络道路拓扑、出行者路径选择和出行时间之间的关系。目标是预测出行者在不同时间段要到达目标地的总出行时间量,得出最小耗费时间,从而引导出行者改变出行时间(提前或推后出行)、改变出行路径,甚至取消出行计划,降低未来一段时间出现拥堵的概率。There are two very important factors that affect the traffic flow, i.e., driving route and departure time. In this paper, a new dynamic congestion model is developed based on the discrete choice theory and the relationship between road topology, route choice and departure time described with an aim to predicting the minimum total travel time and guiding the drivers to change their deoarture time and route or cancel their trio so as to decrease the possibility of future congestion.

关 键 词：智能交通 离散选择 堵塞模型 

分 类 号：TP391.4[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]