2010年玉树Ms7.1级地震发生背景及预测研究回顾  

EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION RESEARCH REVIEW AND BACKGROUND OF YUSHU Ms7.1 EARTHQUAKE IN 2010

作　　者：屠泓为[1] 杨晓霞[1] 丁宁霞[1] 

机构地区：[1]青海省地震局,青海西宁810001

出　　处：《高原地震》2015年第A12期27-33,共7页Plateau Earthquake Research

基　　金：人社部择优项目;青海省地震科学基金(2012A01)资助

摘　　要：继2008年5月12日汶川8.0级地震之后,2010年4月14日我国大陆西部的青海玉树又发生了7.1级地震,造成了巨大的生命财产损失。值此玉树地震5周年之际,对该区域地震的预测研究进行回顾,从地震前兆资料、地震大形势、构造相互作用、应力的积累与释放、周边大震的影响等方面进行了经验总结和讨论。分析认为地震中长期预测仍将是地震预报和地震短临预报的突破口,从大的背景判定危险区域,投入监测力度,进而进行小区域研究分析,在震前找到一定的前兆信息或者资料积累等仍将是未来的努力方向。Yushu Ms 7.1 earthquake on April 14^th, 2010 in the Chinese mainland occurred again after Wen- ehuan 8.0 earthquake on May 12^th, 2008, and it caused a huge life and property losses. On the occasion of the Yushu earthquake 5 - year anniversary, the earthquake prediction in Yushu area is summarized and discussed according to the earthquake precursor data, seismic situation, structure interaction, the accumulation and release of stress, the influence of flame and so on. The conclusion is that the long - middle term predic- tion still will be the sally port of earthquake forecast and short term forecast, and try to find some precursory information and data accumulation before earthquakes according to the big background determinant predominance danger region.

关 键 词：玉树7.1级地震 地震预测 地震前兆 

分 类 号：P315.75[天文地球—地震学]