中国IFDI的时空格局演进及影响因素研究:三维驱动视角  

Temporal and Spatial Evolution of IFDI in China and Its Influence Factors: 3-D Driving Perspective

作　　者：吉生保[1] 杨旭丹[1] 周小柯[2] 王晓珍[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学管理学院 [2]北京联合大学台湾研究院

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2015年第12期100-111,126,共12页World Economy Studies

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(项目编号:71403269;71303234;71573292);教育部人文社会科学基金青年项目(项目编号:13YJC630058);教育部博士点基金项目(项目编号:20130016110003)资助;中国博士后科学基金项目(项目编号:2012M510142);科学技术部国际合作司研究课题(项目编号:2014KJBMDZM16)

摘　　要：基于1986～2012年省际统计资料，文章首先分析了基于区位熵指数的中国IFDI空间集聚程度及演变态势，然后利用面板固定效应模型和IV-2SLS模型考察了IFDI空间格局的影响因素并进行比较研究；在此基础上构造“三维驱动”理论框架模型，并对其进行了定量研究。研究发现：第一，东部沿海地区的IFDI空间集聚程度普遍高于内陆地区，且随着时间的推移这种空间的非均衡性呈现某种“固化”态势；第二，市场规模、经济发展水平、市场开放程度、基础设施和人力资本对IFDI的省际集聚产生不同程度的促进作用，而能源供应和技术授权则抑制了IFDI的省际集聚；第三，在“三维驱动”中，市场驱动维度对地区吸引IFDI的空间集聚效果最为明显，其次为技术驱动和战略驱动维度，随着时间的变化，各地区“三维驱动”发展趋于平稳。Based on the data of 30 provincial regions from 1986 to 2012,we firstly analyze the spatial cluster and evolution of China IFDI based on location quotient indexes; secondly,we use both the traditional fixed effect panel data model and IV-2SLS model to explore the effects of market size and other factors on the spatial pattern of IFDI; thirdly,we make a comparative study on the basis of ' 3-D driving' theoretical framework model. The results show that: firstly,both the IFDI flow and its spatial agglomeration of eastern coastal provinces are higher than those of the inland ones,which shows a certain ' curing' situation along time; secondly,market size,economic development level,market openness,infrastructure and human capital have different promoting effects on IFDI provincial agglomeration,while energy supply and technology licensing inhibits its provincial agglomeration; thirdly,market-driving effect is most obvious to attract IFDI spatial agglomeration,followed by the technology-driving and strategydriving ones,and the ' 3-D driving' tends to be stable with time.

关 键 词：IFDI 空间格局 区位熵 IV-2SLS 三维驱动 

分 类 号：F832.6[经济管理—金融学] F124