通货膨胀与国家道德风险的关系研究  

On the Relationship between Inflation and the National Moral Hazard

作　　者：范方志[1] 汪延明[2] 

机构地区：[1]江苏理工学院商学院,江苏常州213001 [2]贵州财经大学经济学院,贵州贵阳550025

出　　处：《宁夏社会科学》2016年第1期93-96,共4页NingXia Social Sciences

基　　金：2011年度国家社科基金项目"中国实现经济强国的货币政策与财富创造研究"(项目编号:11BJL005)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：通过架构国家道德风险特征与通货膨胀的理论模型,用实证方法探讨两者间的作用关系,研究发现国家道德风险的内生性、牵引性、损人利己性特征与通货膨胀之间存在显著的正相关性。基于上述结论,进一步提出了政策建议:站在国家道德层面,在逐步深化改革的进程中,要正确处理好委托代理的关系,特别是管理方面避免多头委托、多层委托,加强监控力度,增强信息的传递速度,提高信息的真实性,杜绝道德风险问题;监管的政策机制要发挥作用,同时建立政策的评估机制;国家道德层面应该充分考虑老百姓利益,建立通货膨胀的预警机制,增强信息透明度,严防结构性通货膨胀的发生。This paper tends to build the theory model between inflation＇ and the national moral hazard to discuss the relationship between them by the methodology of positivism. The purpose is to discover the obvious existing positive correlations between the endogeneity, tractional property, beggar - thy - neighbor characteristics of the national moral hazard and the inflation. Based on the above conclu- sions, this paper further puts forward some policy recommendations： in the process of gradually deepening reform, the principal-agent problems should be dealt with properly on the level of national morality, especially on the management, such as to avoid long and multi -layer entrust, to strengthen monitoring efforts, to enhance the transmission speed of information, to improve the authenticity of informa- tion and to eliminate the risk of moral hazard problem. Regulatory policy mechanism should play a role, and at the same time, establish a policy evaluation mechanism. National moral should fully consider citizen interests, establish an early warning system for the inflation, enhance information transparency, and take strict precautions against the happening of the structural inflation.

关 键 词：道德风险 通货膨胀 政府 

分 类 号：F820.5[经济管理—财政学]