辽宁省FDI影响因素的VAR模型分析  

Influencing Factors for FDI of Liaoning Province Based on VAR Model

作　　者：李海明[1] 高平[1] 

机构地区：[1]沈阳大学经济学院,辽宁沈阳110044

出　　处：《沈阳大学学报（社会科学版）》2015年第6期727-731,共5页Journal of Shenyang University:Social Science

基　　金：辽宁省社会科学基金资助项目(L13BJL020)

摘　　要：分析辽宁省实际利用外商直接投资(FDI)的现状,采用1999—2014年相关数据,运用VAR模型对辽宁省实际利用FDI的影响因素进行计量分析。结果显示,人均GDP与人均可支配收入与辽宁省的实际FDI的规模呈现正相关关系;从长期看,以邮电业务总量和在职职工平均工资水平为指标的成本因素,对辽宁省实际FDI影响为正;第三产业增加值与GDP的比例、进出口总额与GDP的比值,和实际FDI几乎不存在相关关系。The present situation of the actual use of FDI in Liaoning Province is analyzed.VAR model is applied to the econometric analysis of he actual use of FDI in Liaoning Province using the related data of 1999—2014.The results show that the per capita GDP and per capita disposable income have the positive correlation with the actual scale of FDI of Liaoning Province.In the long term,the cost factors including the total of postal and telecommunications service and the average wage level of onthe-job workers are affecting the scale of the actual FDI. While the actual FDI almost has no relationship with the proportion of the added value of the third industry to GDP and ratio of the total import and export value to GDP.

关 键 词：辽宁省 FDI 影响因素 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]