生育政策调整背景下的“80后”生育意愿  

Fertility Desire of the Post-80s Generation under the Background of Fertility Policy Adjustment

作　　者：薛君[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南师范大学社会事业学院

出　　处：《当代青年研究》2015年第6期92-95,共4页Contemporary Youth Research

摘　　要：目前,"80后"群体正大规模进入生育期,在生育政策调整的背景下,这一群体的生育意愿将成为影响生育水平的重要因素。对893个"80后"调查样本的分析后发现,不同代际、户籍、性别和已生孩次结构对"80后"生育意愿产生影响。"80后"的理想子女数偏好儿女双全,如果政策许可,打算再要二孩比例城镇"80后"高于农村"80后",可以预见一旦二孩生育政策放开,城镇"80后"将成为二孩生育的主体,较易生育反弹形成生育堆积。At present, the post-80 s generation is at a high risk of reproductive age. Under the background of fertility policy adjustment, the fertility desire of this group will become an important factor affecting the fertility level. Analysis of the 893 survey samples shows that the post-80 s generation is partial to a son and a daughter for the ideal number of children through different generations, household register, genders and parity structure based on the empirical investigation. If the policy permits, the proportion of planning to have two children in the urban is higher than rural. It can be predicted that once the two-child policy opens, the post-80 s generation in the urban will become the main body of the reproductive behavior of the two children and easily form growth accumulation.

关 键 词：“80后” 生育意愿 生育政策调整 

分 类 号：C913.1[经济管理]