政府规模经济增长效应的GMM评价——市级面板数据  

The GMM Evaluation of Government Scale Economic Growth Effect——At the Municipal Level Panel Data1

作　　者：李银秀[1] 

机构地区：[1]中共陕西省委党校,陕西西安710061

出　　处：《金融教育研究》2015年第6期59-63,共5页Research of Finance and Education

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目"区域碳减排潜力调控机制与政策研究"(71373170)

摘　　要：政府规模会通过对居民消费、就业和产业结构等宏观因素产生作用,直接影响经济增长,同时,又通过作用于经济增长基本要素产生间接影响。在实际经济运行中,这两种影响是同时存在不可分割的。文章基于市级面板数据,应用GMM方法对政府规模的经济增长效应进行动态评价,检验政府规模对经济增长的影响,结果发现政府规模的扩张对经济增长产生显著的负效应,为促进经济发展,必须缩减政府规模。The government scale had effect on the macro factors such as consumer,employment and industrial structure,direct impact on economic growth,at the same time,it had indirect influence on the basic elements of economic growth. In real economic operation,the two effects exist at the same time and inseparable. Based on the municipal level panel data,using GMM method to evaluate dynamically the size of government economic growth effect,test the influence of government scale on economic growth,the results showed that the expansion of government scale significantly negative effects on economic growth,so we must reduce the size of government to promote the development of the economy.

关 键 词：政府规模 经济增长效应评价 市级面板数据 GMM方法 

分 类 号：F123.14[经济管理—世界经济]