基于管理熵和管理耗散结构的委内瑞拉石油经济模式分析  

An Analysis of Venezuela's Oil-oriented Economy: A Method of Management Entropy and Dissipative Structure

作　　者：穆献中[1] 胡广文[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京工业大学循环经济研究院,北京100124

出　　处：《商业研究》2016年第1期51-55,共5页Commercial Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"海外化石能源投资环境动态模拟和风险博弈研究";项目编号:71273021

摘　　要：本文运用复杂性理论,从管理熵和管理耗散结构角度分析了委内瑞拉石油经济困境的系统内熵增和系统外负熵流引入,提出造成管理熵增加的因素有组织上产业结构单一,经济体系抗风险能力差;政策上缺乏科学性和完善性,阻碍了负熵流的进入和法制的失能;环境响应能力不足,难以适应环境变化;可引入的负熵流有资金、政策和技术,其中融资直接有效,但政府信用不足融资困难,因此作用有限;政策改革具有根源性,但短期见效难;引入先进技术、技术创新,可有效降低成本,实现石油功能转型,提高附加值。Based on the complexity theory, this paper applied the management entropy and dissipative structure to the a- nalysis of Venezuela oil-oriented economy. The factors that resulted in Venezuela＇s entropy increase include： the oil- centered structure that weakens the system＇s anti-risk ability; the insufficient and inefficient regulatory system which strangles the inflow of NEFs ; an insensitive response to external changes ; the potential NEFs that could relieve the prob- lem includes funds, policies and technologies, among which this paper suggests that the financial assistants are good but limited considering Venezuela government＇s credit; policy reform is right but needs time; the introduction of advanced technology and encouragement of technical innovation can effectively reduce costs and promote the functional transforma- tion of oil.

关 键 词：管理熵 管理耗散结构 委内瑞拉 石油经济 

分 类 号：F014.5[经济管理—政治经济学] F062.4