2030年碳排放达到峰值对电力发展的要求及影响分析  

Analysis of Requirement and Impact of Power Development under the Peak Carbon Emissions in 2030

作　　者：程路[1] 邢璐[1] 

机构地区：[1]国网能源研究院,北京102209

出　　处：《中国电力》2016年第1期174-177,共4页Electric Power

摘　　要：中国在《中美气候变化联合声明》中承诺到2030年左右C02排放达到峰值,非化石能源占一次能源消费比重达到20%左右。对该目标的内在要求以及对能源电力发展的影响进行了分析。研究表明:实现碳排放尽早达峰并降低峰值,关键在于能源消费总量的控制以及清洁电力的发展。支撑该目标,2030年中国非化石能源装机、发电量占比将分别达到50%和39%,通过电网跨区输送消纳的可再生能源占利用总量的40%。China promises that the carbon dioxide emissions will reach the peak in 2030 and the non-fossil energy will make up 20% of the primary energy consumption as agreed in the“China ＆ US joint statement on climate change”. In this paper, an analysis is made on the inherent requirements of the target and its impact on the development of energy and power. The study shows that the key actions for reaching the peak emissions as quickly as possible and inherently reducing the peak value are to control the total energy consumption and develop the clean energy. In order to support this target, China’s non-fossil energy power installation and generation capacity shall make up 50% and 39% of the total energy power installation and generation capacity respectively in 2030, and 40% of the renewable energy installation needs to be transported through trans-regional power grid for utilization.

关 键 词：2030年碳排放峰值 能源电力 影响分析 

分 类 号：F426.61[经济管理—产业经济] X32[环境科学与工程—环境工程]