政府卫生支出的经济增长效应:基于阈值面板模型的分析  

Economic Growth Effects of the Government Expenditure on Health: Based on the Analysis of the Threshold Value Panel Model

作　　者：简文清[1] 于寄语[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学经济学院

出　　处：《中国卫生经济》2016年第2期42-44,共3页Chinese Health Economics

摘　　要：目的:研究我国政府卫生支出与经济增长之间的非线性关系,为我国医疗卫生政策的制定提供建议。方法:运用基于Bootstrap仿真模型的序贯检验方法和具有多个阈值效应的阈值面板数据模型进行实证分析。结果:政府卫生支出对经济增长具有显著的促进作用,随着政府卫生支出的逐渐增加,这种促进作用会发生两次变化。结论:我国政府应继续加大医疗卫生投入,同时根据各省所处的阈值区间执行差异化的卫生投入政策。Objective： To analyze the non-linear relationship between the government health expenditure and the economic growth, so as to provide advises for the establishment of health care policy in China. Methods： Using the sequential test method based on boot- strap simulation model and the threshold panel data model with multiple threshold effects to conduct the empirical analysis. Results： Government health expenditure had significant positive effect on the economic growth. With the increasing of government health expen- diture, the improvement effect wnuht change twice. Conclusion： The government should continue to increase the health care input, exe- cute different health input policy ac, cording to the threshold interval of different provinces.

关 键 词：政府卫生支出 经济增长 阈值效应 

分 类 号：R1[医药卫生—公共卫生与预防医学]