基于投入产出模型的北京市雾霾间接经济损失评估  

ASSESSMENT OF THE INDIRECT ECONOMIC LOSS CAUSED BY HEAVY HAZE IN BEIJING BASED ON INPUT-OUTPUT MODEL

作　　者：王桂芝[1] 顾赛菊[2] 陈纪波[2] 

机构地区：[1]南京信息工程大学计算机与软件学院,南京210044 [2]南京信息工程大学数学与统计学院,南京210044

出　　处：《环境工程》2016年第1期121-125,共5页Environmental Engineering

基　　金：国家社会科学基金(15BTJ019);公益性行业科研专项(GYHY201506051);气候变化与公共政策研究院2014年度开放课题(14QHA020)

摘　　要：以2013年1月北京市雾霾重污染事件为例,尝试使用静态和动态的投入产出模型评估雾霾对部门经济冲击下的产业关联间接损失。结果表明:静态情形下,雾霾给交通运输业造成的总损失达9100.72万元,由雾霾导致交通部门直接经济损失引起的产业关联间接损失总计21003.55万元,超过交通运输业直接经济损失的3倍;动态情形下,受雾霾影响的部门生产恢复期越长,产业经济损失值越大。运用投入产出模型评估雾霾间接经济损失,为深入了解雾霾的损害程度提供了一种新思路。The static and dynamic input-output models were used to evaluate the indirect losses both in the transportation and the other departments due to heavy haze. The event of the heavy haze in Beijing in January 2013 was taken as an example.The results showed that,the total economic loss in transportation department caused by heavy haze was 91. 01 million yuan,and the total indirect production loss was 210. 04 million yuan,which was more than three times of the direct economic loss in the static case. Moreover,longer production recovery periods of the damaged departments would lead to greater indirect production losses in the dynamic case. This paper provided a new way to evaluate the damage of haze by using the input-output model to calculate the indirect economic loss by heavy haze.

关 键 词：损失评估 投入产出模型 间接损失 雾霾 北京 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济] X51[环境科学与工程—环境工程]