通货膨胀目标制在中国的适用性分析——基于名义锚视角  

The Analysis on the Applicability of Inflation Targeting in China: Based on Nominal Anchor

作　　者：赵健[1] 

机构地区：[1]黄淮学院经济管理系,河南驻马店463000

出　　处：《福建金融管理干部学院学报》2015年第4期3-9,共7页Journal of Fujian Institute of Financial Administrators

基　　金：2015河南省软科学研究项目"河南省农村金融抑制问题研究:基于土地流转背景"(152400410039);2016年度河南省教育厅人文社会科学研究一般项目(2016-gh-112);2015年河南省社科联;省经团联调研课题(SKL-2015-3151)

摘　　要：从中国物价历年变动和对物价的治理实践来看,稳定物价是我国经济工作的重点,治理通货膨胀对经济的稳定性起到了很大作用。现有双重名义锚存在矛盾和冲突,改革和完善现有目标规则势在必行。但从中国现有条件来看,目前还不是采用通胀目标制的成熟时机。原因如下:通货膨胀是货币政策的重要目标,但不是唯一目标;对通货膨胀率的测算和预测还不是很成熟;市场机制和金融体系不够完善;中国人民央行的独立性不够;政策信息的透明度不高。In view of the changes in China＇s commodity prices over the years and the practice of price control, it has become the focus in economic regulation to guarantee the stability of prices, in which the inhibition of inflation has played a significant role. The existing double nominal anchors presents such contradictions and conflicts that the reform and improvement of the existing objective rules tends to be imperative. However, currently it is not a mature time to adopt inflation targeting considering the existing conditions in China. The reasons are： inflation is an important, goal of monetary policy, but not the only one; the immature calculation and prediction of inflation rate; the incomplete and imperfect market mechanism and financial system; a lack of independence in PBOC; the low transparency of policy information.

关 键 词：通胀目标制 名义锚 适用性 

分 类 号：F820.5[经济管理—财政学]