中国居民消费结构对居民消费碳排放系数的阈值协整效应  

Threshold Co-integration Model between Resident Consumption Structure and Carbon Emissions Coefficient of Resident Consumption in China

作　　者：柴士改[1] 

机构地区：[1]安阳师范学院数学与统计学院,河南安阳455000

出　　处：《软科学》2016年第1期81-85,共5页Soft Science

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(14YJC910001);河南省高等学校重点研究项目(15A910001)

摘　　要：在考虑城乡居民消费差异情况下,构建非线性阈值协整模型,揭示中国居民消费结构与其碳排放系数的影响非线性关系。结果表明,居民消费结构优化进程中,对居民消费碳排放系数呈现机制转移的非线性阈值协整效应：1985~2002年居民消费结构对碳排放系数的影响效应为负;2003~2007年效应由负向正平滑转换;2008~2013年居民消费结构优化有利于其碳排放系数的降低。同时城乡居民消费差异对居民消费碳排放系数的影响效应为负效应,逐渐向正效应转变,表明城乡消费差异不利于居民部门碳排放系数的降低。This paper builds up the consumption information entropy which reflect the change in residents consumption structure,and threshold co-integration model between carbon emissions coefficient and the consumption information entropy. Results show that,there is a co-integration model between them,the effect of resident consumption structure is positive from1985 to 2002,transiting into positive smoothly from 2008 to 2013,the optimization of structure of residents consumption is helpful to reduce carbon emission co-efficient. At the same time,the effect of the gap between urban and rural resident consumption is negative,changing into positive gradually,which will hamper the reduction of carbon emissions coefficient.

关 键 词：居民消费信息熵 碳排放系数 城乡居民收入差距 阈值协整模型 

分 类 号：F126[经济管理—世界经济] F124.5