水稻灌浆期动态预测气象模型研究  

Study on Dynamic Meteorological Prediction Model of Rice Grain Filling Stage

作　　者：于成 费永成 孙磊 陈乐 亢强 

机构地区：[1]成都市气象局,四川成都610071 [2]成都市农业气象试验站,四川温江611130 [3]双流县气象局,四川双流610200

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2015年第36期270-271,共2页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：成都市气象局2014年度业务技术研究课题"成都市农业气象指标集研究"

摘　　要：利用成都市农业气象试验站的水稻发育期和气象资料,在研究水稻灌浆期天数与水稻前期气象因子关系的基础上,建立了水稻灌浆期动态预测模型。结果表明,模型的回代和试报结果均与实际观测值相接近,可在水稻进入抽穗期后实现对灌浆期天数的动态预测。Based on the study of the relationship between the filling stage of days and the meteorological factors of early growth in rice,the dynamic forecasting model of rice grain filling stage was established by using rice growing period and meteorological data of Chengdu agro- meteorological station. The results showed that the results of the model are close to the actual observation,and the model can be used to predict the filling stage of days after heading stage.

关 键 词：水稻 灌浆期 动态预测 气象模型 

分 类 号：S165[农业科学—农业气象学]