AHP和三角白化权函数的武器装备研制技术风险评估  

Technical Risk Appraisement in the Weaponry Development Project Based on AHP and Triangle Whiten Function

作　　者：闫宝会 刘晓东[1] 吴诗辉[1] 贺波[1] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学装备管理与安全工程学院,西安710051

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2016年第1期178-181,共4页Fire Control & Command Control

基　　金：中国博士后科学基金(2012M512137);国防预研基金资助项目(1011303020203)

摘　　要：提出了武器装备技术风险的评价体系,采用层次分析法给出了各指标对技术风险的权重;阐述了基于三角白化权函数的灰色理论,建立了武器装备研制项目技术风险的评估模型,详细给出了技术风险评估的过程和步骤。最后,结合一个航空项目实例说明了该方法的适用性和有效性。In this paper,the index system of technical risk appraisement is pointed out ,and the correlation degree of each index is calculated by the method of analytic hierarchy process. The evaluative model of technical risk in the weaponry development project is set up based on whiten function, and the appraisal processes are introduced. Finally,a risk analysis for aircraft R＆D project is made to illustrate the applicability and the effectiveness of the method.

关 键 词：武器装备研制 技术风险 灰色理论 三角白化权函数 

分 类 号：TJ85[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]