密度、距离、分割、政策与城市经济发展——基于280个地级及以上城市面板数据的实证分析  

Density,Distance,Division,Policy and Urban Economic Development——Based on Panel Data from 280 Prefecture- Level Cities

作　　者：高志刚[1] 贾晓佳[1] 

机构地区：[1]新疆财经大学经济学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830012

出　　处：《南昌大学学报（人文社会科学版）》2015年第6期65-72,共8页Journal of Nanchang University(Humanities and Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"基于广义测度体系的干旱区城市形态特征与环境绩效研究"(41101157);新疆财经大学科研基金项目"‘丝绸之路经济带’核心区域经济关联与发展的空间溢出效应研究"(XJUFE2015K012)

摘　　要：《2009年世界银行发展报告》的"3D"视角,即密度、距离、分割,是一个新的经济地理分析方法,考虑到我国是发展中国家,城市经济的发展离不开政策的指导与支持,因此在3D理论的基础上加入政策因素,使用2002—2013年280个地级及以上城市面板数据,采用随机效用模型,验证"3D+P"四指标对城市经济的发展影响。为提升回归结果的可靠性,在指标中加入了控制变量和工具变量,以消除共线和内生性。结果表明:密度、分割、政策对城市经济发展影响为正,距沿海港口城市的距离对经济发展影响为负,而省会城市距离的影响不显著。当对东、中、西及东北地区分别进行探析时,各因素的影响力不尽相同。为促进中国城市经济发展,应提高地级市的经济密度,缩短地级市间的经济距离,发挥分割对经济发展的促进作用,依托地区经济发展中的政策优势。The perspective of 3D from World Bank Development Report 2009,namely density,distance and division,provides a powerful analytical paradigm. Considering China is a developing country whose economy development relies on the guidance and support of the policy,the article adopts a random utility model to verify the influence of 3D ＋ P on urban economic development,on the basis of 3D theory plus the factor of policy and panel data from 280 cities in 2013. To ensure the reliability of the regression result,control variable and instrument al variable are added to the index to reduce collinear and endogeneity. Results indicate that density,division and policy play a positive role in urban economic development,while distance between the coastal port cities playing a negative role,distance between the capital cities having no obvious influence. So to promote Chinese urban economic development,economy density of the prefecture- level cities should be increased,economy distance between the cities should be shortened,and the role of division and policy should be fully taken advantage.

关 键 词：密度 距离 分割 政策 城市经济 

分 类 号：F301.1[经济管理—产业经济]