An emergency decision support system for the marine pollution  

海洋环境污染保障系统（英文）

作　　者：宋军[1,2] 郭俊如[2,3,4] 牟林[1,4] 刘玉龙[1] 李琰[1] 袁泽轶[1] 李欢[1] 高佳[1] 王国松[1] 姚志刚[2,5] 

机构地区：[1]国家海洋信息中心,天津300171 [2]中国海洋大学教育部物理海洋重点实验室,山东青岛266100 [3]School of Physical, Environmental and Mathematical Sciences, University of New South Wales [4]College of Physical and Environmental Oceanography, Ocean University of China [5]Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University

出　　处：《Marine Science Bulletin》2015年第2期56-67,共12页海洋通报（英文版）

基　　金：supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41206013,41376014,41430963);the Public Science and Technology Research Funds Projects of Ocean (201205018);Key Marine Science Foundation of the State Oceanic Administration of China for Young Scholar(2013203,2012202,2012223);National Sci-Tech Support Plan(2014BAB12B02);Tianjin Sci-Tech Support Plan(14ZCZDSF00012);POL Visiting Fellowship Program (Song Jun);China Scholarship Council ([2008]3019;[2012]3013)

摘　　要：The paper introduces the research progress in an emergency decision support system for marine pollution （EDSS） in China seas and elaborates on the possible role of the Neutron Activation Analysis （NAA） method therein. To deal with the increasingly grave situation of offshore pollution, the EDSS for China seas has been researching and developing. Based on the prediction and analysis of the ocean three-dimensional current field, this system makes an inference on the possible path of diffusion and influencing area of marine pollutants and possible location of pollution source, and in combination with the environmentally sensitive information related to the technical integration of GIS, it puts forward the decision, making support for minimizing the hazard caused by pollutants. This system has been operationalized and running for many years on the Bohai and Huanghai seas＇ Marine Pollutants Prediction and Early-Warning, and it has achieved successful experience for many times in the emergencies of China＇s coastal pollution accidents. At present, the environmental guarantee system directed against heavy metals and radioactive pollutants is in the experimental stage. As the NAA method is especially applicable to the detection of part of heavy metals and radioactive substances, it is of very important practical value for the new system to realize the monitoring, prediction and early-warning of ocean heavy metals and radioactive pollutants.本文介绍了一个针对中国海域海洋环境污染保障系统的研究进展,并阐述中子活化分析(Neutron Activation Analysis,NAA)方法在其中的可能作用。该系统基于对海洋三维流场的预报与分析,对海洋污染物可能的扩散路径与影响区域、污染源头的可能位置进行推测,并结合GIS技术整合相关的环境敏感信息,为如何使污染物造成的危害降到最低给出决策支持。基于该系统技术的渤黄海海洋污染物预测预警系统已经实现业务化运行多年,并在中国沿海污染事故应急中多次获得成功的经验。目前,针对重金属与放射性污染物的环境保障系统正处于理论实验阶段,由于NAA方法特别适合用于对部分重金属及放射性物质的检测,因此NAA方法对实现海洋重金属及放射性污染物的监测及预测预警具有非常重要的实用价值。

关 键 词：marine pollution Neutron Activation Analysis ocean modeling 

分 类 号：X55[环境科学与工程—环境工程]