基于ROXY模型的长江经济带城镇化时空演化研究  

The Yangtze River Economic Belt of New Urbanization Space-time Evolution Research

作　　者：罗腾飞[1] 邓宏兵[1] 袁孟[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学经济管理学院,武汉430074

出　　处：《西北人口》2016年第1期70-75,82,共7页Northwest Population Journal

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目:长江经济带新型城镇化质量测度与模式研究(14BSH028)

摘　　要：城镇化发展不仅仅是人口比例的增加和土地面积的扩张,而是要注重人口、产业、土地的协调发展。据此本文从人口、产业、土地三个维度,采用ROXY模型分析了长江经济带城镇化发展水平与时空演化特征。研究发现:长江经济带11省市第二产业与建成区面积均呈现出恒定收敛—加速极化—加速收敛—加速收敛演化轨迹。第三产业的空间发展轨迹与第二产业、建成区面积发展轨迹相反;而非农人口一直保持着极化空间发展特征。由此反映出长江经济带城镇化发展具有多元特征,同时说明了长江经济11省市之间缺乏有效的带动力与辐射力,在其发展过程中需要充分发挥城市的溢出效应。In this paper,we from three dimensions, population, industry, land use model the paper analyzes the urbanization development level of the Yangtze river economic belt and space-time evolution characteristics. Study found that 11 provinces and cities in the Yangtze river economic belt the second industry and area is both present a constant convergence, accelerated polarization,accelerating convergence ,accelerate the convergent evolution. Spatial trajectory of the tertiary industry and the second industry,area is opposite;Polarization space development characteristics and non-agricultural population has been maintained. Reflect the development of urbanization in the Yangtze river economic belt has multiple characteristics, also shows the lack of effective between 11 provinces and cities along the Yangtze river economic driving force and radial force,need to give full play to the city of spillover effects.

关 键 词：新型城镇化 长江经济带 ROXY指数 收敛 极化 

分 类 号：F299.21[经济管理—国民经济]