中国区域“四化”协调发展收敛性研究  

A Study on the Convergence of the Regional Coordinated Development of the "Four Modernizations" in China

作　　者：顾先问[1] 冯南平[1] 张爱萍[1] 

机构地区：[1]合肥工业大学,安徽合肥230009

出　　处：《当代经济管理》2016年第2期40-44,共5页Contemporary Economic Management

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学项目(13YJC630030);安徽省教育厅人文社会科学基地重点项目(SK2013A147)

摘　　要：针对中国区域"四化"协调发展水平的收敛性,采用σ收敛、β收敛和俱乐部收敛检验方法进行了研究。研究发现,全国和东、中、西部地区的变异系数都呈逐年下降的趋势,σ收敛存在,地区间协调发展水平的差异逐年缩小。全国范围内,绝对和条件β收敛均显著存在,落后地区的发展速度超过了先进地区,前者有追赶上后者的趋势。东、中、西三大地带内部β收敛显著存在,俱乐部收敛现象明显。东部收敛速度最快,中部其次,西部最慢。The article studied the convergence of the regional coordinated development of four modernizations through σ convergence, βconvergence and club convergence test methods. It finds that the coefficients of variation of the whole nation and eastern, central and western China are decreasing annually. It means that σ convergence does exist and regional difference of coordination level is decreasing yearly. In nationwide scale, absolute and conditional β convergences both significantly exist. The development speed of the backward areas exceeds that of the advanced areas and there is a tendency that the former will catch up with the latter in the future. In eastern, central and western China, βconvergence significantly exists in all these three regions, and the club convergence phenomenon is obvious. The convergence speed of eastern China is the fastest, central China is the second and western China is the slowest.

关 键 词：“四化”协调发展 Σ收敛 Β收敛 俱乐部收敛 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]