中国城市化滞后程度测度  

Measurement of Urbanization Lag Degree in China

作　　者：陈伟[1] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学经济学院,天津300071

出　　处：《河北经贸大学学报》2016年第2期123-128,F0003,共7页Journal of Hebei University of Economics and Business

摘　　要：一个国家或地区的城市化滞后应相对其自身工业化发展水平而言,是城市化发展难以满足工业化发展要求,是城市化难以适应生产力的进一步解放,与国际经验没有必然关系。通过构建测度中国城市化滞后程度的新模型,对三个层次的偏差绝对数和偏差相对数的测度。结果表明,农民进城是工业化提出了城市化的要求,农民工却是城市化滞后的充分表现,因此农民工及其家属才是中国城市化的目标,没有农民工城市化将失去意义;与国家发布的城市化率逐年提高,工业化与城市化发展更加协调的统计印象相悖,无论以偏差相对数,还是偏差绝对数来衡量,相对于工业化(非农化),中国城市化滞后程度在不断加重。A country or region urbanization lag should be relative to its own level of industrialization development. Urbanization lag is not necessarily related to international experience, which is difficult to meet the requirements of the development of industrialization, and difficult to adapt to the further liberation of the productive forces. By constructing a new model to measure the urbanization lag degree in China,the author measures absolute and relative numbers of deviation in three levels.The results show that the farmers moving into the city make industrialization put forward the requirements of urbanization,but migrant workers are the full performance of the urbanization lag, so they and their families are the goal of China＇s urbanization,without migrant workers,urbanization will lose its meaning. The results are contrary to national release,which says the urbanization rate is increasing year by year,and industrialization and urbanization development is more coordinated.Whether with deviation relative number or deviation absolute number to measure China＇s urbanization, compared with industrialization（non agricultural）,its lag degree is increasing.

关 键 词：城市化 工业化 非农化 农民工 城市化滞后程度 偏差相对数 偏差绝对数 钱纳里模型 库兹涅茨国际标准模型 

分 类 号：F291[经济管理—国民经济]