转型时期居民文教娱乐消费的收入弹性分析  

The Analysis of Income Elasticity of Consumption in Cultural,Education and Recreation Services in Transitional China

作　　者：鲁婧颉[1] 

机构地区：[1]山东大学经济学院

出　　处：《产业经济评论（山东）》2010年第1期81-92,共12页Review of Industrial Economics

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目"转型时期消费需求升级与产业发展研究"(06JZD0017)的阶段性成果;主持人:臧旭恒教授;山东大学"985工程--产业经济理论与政策研究"支持研究成果

摘　　要：转型时期,居民收入提高的同时,文教娱乐消费支出也在不断增加。文教娱乐支出的变化在一定程度上能够反映居民消费结构的变化,是居民生活质量甚至是生活方式改变的重要指标。本文利用ELES模型,采用全国31个省(自治区、直辖市)的截面数据对城乡居民文教娱乐的边际消费倾向和收入弹性进行估计,结果表明我国居民文教娱乐边际消费倾向总体呈上升趋势,城乡居民文教娱乐消费的收入弹性已经由小于1过渡到大于1,居民对文教娱乐消费需求的增长速度大于收入的增长速度。Changes in consumption of cultural,education and recreation services can to some extent reflect changes in consumers' consumption structure.The level of consumption is the key index to measure people's living quality.With the increase in consumers' income in transitional China,the expenditure in Cultural,Education and Recreation Services increases as well.The paper uses ELES model to estimate the marginal propensity of consume and income elasticity of such consumption with cross-sectional data from 31 provinces of China.The results show that the MPC rises in the sample period,and the income elasticity has been over 1,implying that the speed of demand for Cultural,Education and Recreation Services to both urban and rural residents goes faster than that of income.

关 键 词：文教娱乐消费 ELES 边际消费倾向 收入弹性 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F126