集聚还是分散——兼论中国区域协调发展的策略  

To Cluste or Disperse:A Study on Strategy Choice of Regional Balanced Development in China

作　　者：赵祥[1] 

机构地区：[1]中共广东省委党校管理学部

出　　处：《产业经济评论（山东）》2010年第3期87-109,共23页Review of Industrial Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金项目"产业集群扩散与区域经济协调研究"(07BJY009)的资助

摘　　要：本文利用我国中类和小类行业数据所进行的实证分析发现产业集聚是影响我国城镇居民收入差距的Granger原因,产业集聚效应在促进中心区经济增长的同时,也会导致"中心—外围"地区之间的收入差距。城镇居民收入差距也是决定我国工业空间分布不均衡的Granger原因,"产业集聚——收入差距"循环累积因果链的确存在。产业集聚会在特定时期内导致地区收入差距的扩大,但这种影响会在未来某个时点发生逆转。目前我国绝大多数工业部门尚未达到最优集聚规模,产业集聚效应在我国尚未得到充分的发挥,产业的地方化集聚仍有进一步扩大的动力。基于以上发现,目前我国区域协调发展策略的关键是,要在推动产业高效集聚的过程中解决区域发展不平衡的问题。Based on the data of SIC-3 and SIC-4 industries,the paper shows that Industrial agglomeration is the Granger reason to determine regional income gap,The agglomeration effect significantly helps to promote economic growth,and thereby broadening regional income gap.Regional gap of urban residents income is also the Granger reason to affect industrial agglomeration.The cumulative circular causation of industrial agglomeration and regional income gap works indeed in practice.Although industrial agglomeration can intensify regional income gap in certain period,it helps to narrow regional income gap in the long run.Most of industries haven't reached the maximum of agglomeration scale yet in China,and there is still room to give full play to the agglomeration effect.These findings suggest that the unbalanced problem of regional development in China should be solved by promoting the further efficient industry clustering.

关 键 词：产业集聚 区域收入差距 集聚规模 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F224