农业劳动力流动对中国经济增长的贡献  

The Contribution of Agricultural Labor Migration to Economic Growth in China

作　　者：伍山林[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]上海财经大学经济学院,200433 [2]上海财经大学数理经济学教育部重点实验室,200433

出　　处：《经济研究》2016年第2期97-110,共14页Economic Research Journal

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目(14ADZ03);国家自然科学基金面上项目(71473159);上海财经大学创新团队支持计划(2014110309)资助

摘　　要：本文针对农业劳动力流动对中国经济增长的贡献,在二元经济结构和增长源核算框架下给出新的度量和结果。研究发现:(1)采用劳动再配置效应经典公式评估这种贡献时,通常会产生漏测或过测。在马塞尔增长源分解模式中嵌入劳动的制度异质性,可以得到一个具有比较优势的近似测算公式。(2)1985—2011年中国农业劳动力流动对经济增长的贡献具有递减的趋势,与经济增长具有相似的波动特征。(3)市场化改革以来,由于非农部门劳动的制度异质性被固化和农村劳动力教育增速放缓,农业劳动力流动促进经济增长的潜力受到了抑制。(4)实施相应制度创新之后,农业劳动力流动仍可为延续"中国奇迹"做出贡献。in the paper, I propose a new formula and reevaluate the contribution of agricultural labor migration to economic growth in China. I found that （ 1 ） measurement error appears frequently when we evaluate the contribution with the classical formula of labor reallocation effect. Based on Massell＇s model with labor heterogeneity, I get an approximate formula with comparative advantage. （2） The contribution is decreasing with time and its fluctuation is similar with those of economic growth from 1985 to 2011. （3） Since market-oriented reform, the potential of promoting economic growth through agricultural labor migration is great, but it is always underused due to the existing institutional environment which gives rise to labor heterogeneity in nonagricultural sector and schooling trap in rural labor forces. （4） We can still do something to sustain ＂China miracle＂ through agricultural labor migration and by means of institutional innovation.

关 键 词：劳动力流动 劳动异质性 再配置效应 经济增长 

分 类 号：F323.6[经济管理—产业经济]