中国城镇居民人口年龄结构与居民文化消费  

The Impacts of Population Age Structure on Household Cultural Consumption in Chinese Urban Area

作　　者：张冲[1] 张丹[2] 朱鹏[2] 

机构地区：[1]西华大学政治学院,四川成都610039 [2]西南财经大学中国西部经济研究中心,四川成都611130

出　　处：《西安财经学院学报》2016年第2期86-90,共5页Journal of Xi’an University of Finance & Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金(12BRK020);西华大学重点科研基金项目(ZW1424333)

摘　　要：文章基于中国城镇2001—2012年各省、市(自治区)面板数据,采用动态面板广义矩估计(GMM)方法,分析了城镇人口年龄结构变化对居民文化消费的影响。结果显示,城镇少儿抚养比的上升会推动文化消费的上升;老年抚养比的上升则会抑制文化消费;城镇人均收入、人均受教育年限、养老保险的覆盖比重均有利于文化消费的增加;文化消费的价格指数则对文化消费有负向的影响。基于此,为促进文化产业的发展和国民素质的提升,国家和社会需要做好八个方向的政策调控。This paper uses the method of GMM to analyse the impacts of population age structure on house- hold cultural consumption with the urban panel data from Chinese provinces during the period 2001--2012. The result suggests that the youth dependency ratio has a positive impact on household cultural consump- tion, while the old dependency ratio has a negative impact on the household cultural consumption. In addi- tion, this article also finds that per capita income, average education attainment and the coverage rate of old age insurance have positive impact on household cultural consumption, while the consumer price index of cultural has a negative impact on the household cultural consumption. To promote the development of cultural industry and the promotion of the national quality, the state and society need to complete the poli- cies of eight directions.

关 键 词：中国城镇居民 人口年龄结构 居民文化消费 

分 类 号：F126.1[经济管理—世界经济]