中国城市化发展与农民宅基地粗放利用的动态关系研究  

Study on the Co-intergration Relationship between Urbanization Rate and Extensive Farmers' Residential Land Use in China

作　　者：吴郁玲[1] 侯娇[1] 周勇[1] 姜艳[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中师范大学城市与环境科学学院,湖北武汉430079

出　　处：《中国土地科学》2015年第11期63-69,共7页China Land Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71403095;41271534);湖北省国土资源行业科研专项经费(EZC-2014-ZX0299)

摘　　要：研究目的:通过对中国城市化水平与农民宅基地粗放利用的长期均衡关系及短期波动效应的分析,为提高农村宅基地利用效率提供一定的理论依据和实证支持。研究方法:协整理论、Granger因果关系检验和脉冲响应函数。研究结果:中国城市化水平与农民宅基地粗放利用存在较稳定的长期均衡关系,而在短期内却是失衡的且在东、中、西部地区表现不同。东部地区,城市化率对农民宅基地粗放利用的冲击效应为正,且短期内显著而在长期却逐步递减;中、西部地区,城市化率对农民宅基地粗放利用的正向冲击效应短期不显著却在长期逐渐增强,且西部地区的冲击效应更强烈。研究结论:由于中国不同地区城市化发展的阶段不同,其促进农民宅基地集约利用的政策着力点也应不同。东部地区,政策重点是对农民私下的宅基地流转行为进行规范,使其合法合理化;中部地区,关键是探寻政府主导下的农民宅基地流转模式和有效途径;西部地区,则要提高城市化推进的质量,通过相关配套制度改革,提高进城务工农民的生活保障,以减少其返乡扩建、新建住房的行为。On the basis of pool data in 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2013, the article analyzed the Long-term equilibrium relationship and short-term fluctuation effect between urbanization rate and farmers’ residential land extensive use in China by applying co-integration theory, Granger causality test and impulse response function. The result showed that there was a stable long-term equilibrium relationship between the urbanization rate and farmers’ residential land extensive use. However, it did not exist in the short term. And it was different among eastern area, central area and western area. In the eastern region, the impact of urbanization on the farmers’ residential land extensive use was positive, which would be decrease as time goes by. In the central and western area, the impact of urbanization on farmers’ residential land extensive use was positive, which would be increase steps by steps. Furthermore, the impact was more significant in the western area. The stages of urbanization were different from place to place so the key policies should be different too. In the eastern region, the key of policies should regulate the behavior of farmers’ residential land circulation and safeguard the rights and interests of farmers. In the central area, it is important to find the useful way to circulate the farmers’ residential land dominated by the government. In the western area, it is necessary to improve the quality of urbanization. We should reform the education, medical and social insurance system to increase peasant’s social security and decrease the behavior of building new housing.

关 键 词：土地经济 城市化 农民宅基地利用 动态关系 

分 类 号：F301[经济管理—产业经济]