路径依赖、市场进入与资源型城市转型  

PATH DEPENDENCE,MARKET ENTRY AND TRANSFORMATION OF RESOURCES-BASED CITY

作　　者：张生玲[1] 李跃[1] 酒二科 姬卿伟[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京师范大学经济与资源管理研究院 [2]北京师范大学统计学院

出　　处：《经济理论与经济管理》2016年第2期14-27,共14页Economic Theory and Business Management

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助重点项目(2012WZD08);"陕西省榆林市工业经济转型问题研究"项目的资助

摘　　要：资源型城市因资源而兴,但也面临转型"困境"。本文试图以经验数据证明资源型城市存在路径依赖,并分析路径依赖效应阻碍资源型经济转型的作用机理。本文研究表明,路径依赖效应通过技术与制度"双重锁定",在经济快速增长的掩饰下"侵蚀"资源型城市产业结构升级的内生动力;在资源枯竭时期,路径依赖效应会导致城市丧失快速发展资源替代性产业的能力,严重的结构性失业、生态环境破坏以及基础设施落后使城市陷入转型"困境",单纯市场调节很难实现资源型城市产业结构的自我修复,政府管理在产业布局中的作用显得更加重要;突破路径依赖的关键在于新企业的"市场进入"与地区人力资本水平的提升,有利于打破路径依赖锁定,推动资源禀赋优势向其他要素禀赋优势转化,使资源型城市突破路径锁定,实现转型。This paper using empirical data attempted to prove the existence of path dependence in resource-based cities, and then analyzed the mechanism of path dependence and its influence on regional economic transformation. Analysis showed that the path-dependent effects erode endogenous motivation of industrial structure through technical and institutional ＂double lock＂ during the rapid economic growth period. Labor quality and low-level of human capital, the lag development of alternative industry, all those factors lead to serious structural unemployment in resource-exhausted period. The optional way of trans- formation is to prompt market entry in consideration of regional driving factors, to break the path depend- ence, and to drive to change comparative advantage from resource endowment to other endowment. Com- paring with the inefficient research investment, human capital play more important role in city transforma- tion. Serious external problems and path-dependent effect make government management more important to industry development in resource-exhausted cities.

关 键 词：资源型城市转型 路径依赖 市场进入 路径突破 

分 类 号：F299.2[经济管理—国民经济]