工业产业结构调整和技术进步的气候效应  

Climate Change Effects of Industrial Structure Adjustments and Technical Improvements

作　　者：马建平[1] 

机构地区：[1]中华女子学院金融系,北京100101

出　　处：《首都经济贸易大学学报》2016年第2期123-128,共6页Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business

基　　金：中华女子学院重点课题"资源禀赋;地区差异与低碳发展的差别化路径选择"(KG11-02002)

摘　　要：基于中国1980—2013年碳排放、经济、能耗、环境等数据,构建气候效应分解模型,将气候效应分解为规模效应、传统意义的结构效应、低碳意义的结构效应、传统意义的技术效应和低碳意义的技术效应。协整分析显示,主要正向气候效应是经济增长带来的规模效应,主要负向气候效应是能耗强度下降和低碳环保技术投资带来的双重技术效应,高排放行业增加和低碳能源占比上升带来的正、负结构效应都较低,其中负向结构效应低于正向结构效应。Based on China＇ s 1980-2013 data of carbon emissions, economy, energy consumption and environ- ment and so on, the paper establishes a decomposition model of climate change effects which consist of scale effects, structure effects in traditional meaning, structure effects in the meaning of low carbon, technique effects in traditional meaning, and technique effects in the meaning of low carbon. The co-integration test shows that the main positive effects of climate are the results of the scale effects of economic growth, and the main negative effects are the effects produced by energy consumption intensity decrements and low carbon and environment technology investments, and the growth of the ratio of carbon intensive industries leads to low positive effects, while the growth of the ratio of clean energy gains a little lower negative effects.

关 键 词：结构调整 技术进步 气候效应 

分 类 号：F264[经济管理—国民经济]