新疆自治区农村居民消费增长实证研究  

An Empirical Study of Rural Residents' Consumption Growth in Xinjiang

作　　者：刘美[1] 赵军[1] 

机构地区：[1]新疆大学经济与管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830046

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2016年第3期275-277,共3页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：新疆大学世川良一优秀研究生基金项目(XJU-SYLLF14008);新疆宏观经济预警系统研究基地重大项目(XJEDU010614A02)

摘　　要：根据1987~2013年统计数据,选取农村居民人均消费支出、农村居民人均可支配收入、农村居民消费价格指数、一年期存款利率等变量,建立误差修正模型对新疆农村居民消费增长情况进行实证分析,探讨了主要影响因素对新疆农村居民消费增长的作用机制。结果表明,新疆农村居民人均消费支出与人均可支配收入之间存在着长期稳定关系,新疆农村居民消费价格指数对农村居民消费有促进作用,利率对新疆农村居民消费有非显著抑制作用;目前抑制新疆农村居民消费增长的原因主要是持续增收不足、基础设施建设落后等。为提高新疆农村居民消费水平,提出了提高农民收入、加快农村基础设施建设、培育农村消费新热点等对策建议。According to statistical data during 1987 -2013, selecting variables of rural residents per capita consumption expenditure, rural residents per capita disposable income, rural residents consumer price index, one-year deposit rate, the error correction model was established to analyze consumption growth of rural residents in Xinjiang. The effect of main factors on the consumption growth was discussed. The results showed that long-term stable relationship exists between Xinjiang rural residents＇ per capita consumption expenditure and the per capita dispos- able income ; Xinjiang rural consumer price index promotes rural residents ＇ consumption ; interest rates suppress consumption of rural residents in Xinjiang; problems in inhibiting rural residents＇ consumption growth mainly exist in lack of continuous income increasing, infrastructure construction lagging behind etc. ： In order to improve Xinjiang rural residents＇ consumption level, several countermeasures were put forward, such as increasing farmers＇ income, speeding up rural infrastructure construction, creating new hot spots of consumption in rural areas.

关 键 词：农村居民 增长动力 消费 新疆 

分 类 号：S-9[农业科学] F328[经济管理—产业经济]