农业劳动力老龄化是否必然导致家庭农业经营收益下降?——基于村公共品供给的视角  

Will Agricultural Labor Force Aging Lead to the Decrease of Household's Agricultural Earnings? Based on the Perspective of Village Public Goods Supply

作　　者：何凌霄[1] 南永清[2] 张忠根[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江大学管理学院,浙江杭州310058 [2]山东大学经济学院,山东济南250100

出　　处：《南京农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2016年第2期105-116,155,共12页Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重大项目"人口结构对中国居民消费的影响研究:微观机理;实证检验与宏观政策"(71373057);河南省教育厅人文社科重点规划项目"人口年龄结构;消费结构与产业结构"(2015-ZD-094)

摘　　要：基于中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)2010年和2012年数据,考察了老龄化、村公共品及二者交互作用对家庭农业经营的影响。理论与实证分析均显示:老龄化对家庭农业经营呈现显著的负向影响,村公共品对农业经营呈正向影响,并且村公共品能够有效缓解老龄化对家庭农业经营的负面影响。进一步的扩展研究表明,不同特质的村庄在公共品投入以及拥有公共品数量和质量的差异,导致公共品对老龄劳动力农业经营的缓冲作用而有所不同。村公共品的这一缓冲作用会随着村庄经济水平的提高、农业经营规模的扩大以及社会资本的丰富而得到强化。建议加大对农村老龄人口的帮扶力度,大力完善村基础设施建设,逐步提高村公共服务的质量和效率,为老龄劳动力的农业经营创造有利条件。This paper investigates the impact of aging,village public goods and their interaction effect on household's farming by using the data from China Family Panel Studies( CFPS) 2010 and 2012. Theoretical and empirical analysis shows that aging has a significant negative effect on household's farming,and village public goods has a positive effect on household's farming,moreover,village public goods can well alleviate the adverse effect of aging. Extended discussions show that the alleviating effect can be enhanced with the increase of village economy,the expansion of agriculture,and the variety of social capital. In order to create favorable conditions for aging workforces' farming,this paper suggests that the government should increase its support for the rural elderly population,vigorously enhance the village infrastructure construction,and improve the quality and efficiency of the village public service.

关 键 词：劳动力老龄化 农业经营 村公共品 

分 类 号：F323.1[经济管理—产业经济]